Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
11.9847.9%
X3.3828.1%
23.9424.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWDDDWDWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Swansea
LDDDLWDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
4.40
8.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.60goals per match
Swansea conceded1.50
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.00goals per match
Millwall conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.40
8.80
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.30
Match total
24.40

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches659
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%48.3%+0.4 pp
Draw28.1%28.8%+0.8 pp
Away24.1%22.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.460.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.1%
2-110.8%
0-09.3%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.11
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=659.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches204
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%29.1%–42.1% CI
Draw FT41.2%34.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT23.5%18.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away38.7%