Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.2029.6%
X3.4227.7%
22.2242.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WWDLWLLWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Middlesbrough
WWWLWWLWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.00
Against
4.70
8.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.90goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.30
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

2.00goals per match
Swansea conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.70
8.10
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.70
Match total
18.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.30
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches395
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%25.8%-3.8 pp
Draw27.7%26.1%-1.6 pp
Away42.7%48.1%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.101.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-212.7%
0-110.4%
1-08.1%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.865.07
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=395.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%17.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT37.1%28.8%–46.1% CI
Away FT38.8%30.4%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away58.6%