Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.5326.8%
X3.3028.6%
22.1244.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
LWLWWDDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Millwall
DWLWLWWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.90
Against
4.40
9.20
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.50goals per matchMillwall conceded1.00Matchup
Millwall attack
1.20goals per matchReading conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.40
9.20
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.50
Match total
21.90
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%22.7%-4.0 pp
Draw28.6%36.4%+7.7 pp
Away44.6%40.9%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS41.9%
Historical average
0.89–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-017.7%
0-113.1%
1-112.1%
0-28.6%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–4.95
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.9%4.9%–19.0% CI
Draw FT59.2%47.5%–69.8% CI
Away FT31.0%21.4%–42.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal50.7%
2+ goals16.9%
3+ goals5.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home19.7%
Away40.8%