Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.4838.1%
X3.1230.3%
23.0031.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
WWLLLLLDWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cardiff
LLWDDLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.70
7.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.00goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.50goals per match
Preston conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.70
7.90
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
22.50
Match total
18.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%33.3%-4.8 pp
Draw30.3%38.6%+8.2 pp
Away31.5%28.1%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.513.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.050.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
0-014.4%
1-012.4%
0-110.5%
2-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.30
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.528.8%
Over 11.520.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT50.8%38.4%–63.2% CI
Away FT22.0%13.4%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.7%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away42.4%