Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.8351.8%
X3.4527.5%
24.5620.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WWLWDLWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Preston
LWLWWLWWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
5.50
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.50goals per match
Preston conceded1.40
Matchup

Preston attack

1.30goals per match
Watford conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.50
11.00
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
23.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%53.4%+1.6 pp
Draw27.5%27.7%+0.3 pp
Away20.8%18.9%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS45.4%

Historical average

1.490.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-013.7%
2-111.6%
1-111.2%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.613.65
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.0%36.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT14.5%8.5%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away33.7%