Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
12.2941.4%
X3.2529.2%
23.2229.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
WLLWLWLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Stoke
WLWLWDLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.40
Against
4.10
8.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.50goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.10
8.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.10
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches908
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%40.3%-1.1 pp
Draw29.2%30.2%+1.0 pp
Away29.4%29.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.301.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-011.1%
0-09.7%
2-19.6%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.54
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=907.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches297
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%24.7%–35.1% CI
Draw FT42.4%36.9%–48.1% CI
Away FT27.9%23.1%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away45.8%