Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
12.5237.6%
X3.1929.7%
22.8932.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWWDDDWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Norwich
LDLWWLWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.60goals per match
Norwich conceded1.10
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.50goals per match
Millwall conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.70
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.90
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.20
Match total
22.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches550
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%32.4%-5.2 pp
Draw29.7%36.2%+6.5 pp
Away32.8%31.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.171.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
0-010.0%
1-09.6%
0-19.3%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.63
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=549.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.5%17.9%–30.2% CI
Draw FT51.4%44.1%–58.6% CI
Away FT25.1%19.4%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away47.5%