Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 12:30
12.2442.3%
X3.2828.9%
23.2828.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WLLLDDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Bristol City
LLWLDWDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
6.90
10.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.80goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.90
10.30
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
19.10
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
3.50
On target
2.30
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches728
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%41.2%-1.1 pp
Draw28.9%32.6%+3.7 pp
Away28.9%26.2%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.250.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-014.0%
0-010.2%
0-18.4%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.31
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=727.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches261
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%29.0%–40.4% CI
Draw FT42.1%36.3%–48.2% CI
Away FT23.4%18.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away41.8%