Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-28 · 20:00
12.2342.5%
X3.0730.9%
23.5626.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
DWDDDWLWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Millwall
LDWLWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.30
Against
4.60
13.20
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.40goals per matchMillwall conceded0.90Matchup
Millwall attack
1.00goals per matchLuton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.60
13.20
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.90
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches312
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%39.4%-3.1 pp
Draw30.9%33.0%+2.1 pp
Away26.6%27.6%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.513.8%
BTTS45.2%
Historical average
1.18–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
0-012.8%
1-011.2%
0-110.3%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.92–3.95
Average total8.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=312.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.8%
Over 9.538.8%
Over 10.527.2%
Over 11.521.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%25.5%–41.1% CI
Draw FT46.0%37.9%–54.3% CI
Away FT21.2%15.2%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away43.1%