Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.4239.1%
X3.1230.3%
23.1030.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
LLLWDLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Millwall
WLDWLWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
11.00
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.20goals per matchMillwall conceded1.00Matchup
Millwall attack
1.10goals per matchStoke conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
11.00
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.50
Match total
21.70
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches545
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%40.0%+0.9 pp
Draw30.3%32.5%+2.1 pp
Away30.5%27.5%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.19–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-012.5%
0-011.9%
0-110.1%
2-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.95–4.28
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=545.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.524.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%24.6%–37.0% CI
Draw FT44.8%38.2%–51.5% CI
Away FT24.8%19.4%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.5%
Away44.8%