Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.4239.1%
X3.1230.3%
23.1030.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LLLWDLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Millwall
WLDWLWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
11.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
11.00
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches545
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%40.0%+0.9 pp
Draw30.3%32.5%+2.1 pp
Away30.5%27.5%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.190.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-012.5%
0-011.9%
0-110.1%
2-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.28
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=545.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%24.6%–37.0% CI
Draw FT44.8%38.2%–51.5% CI
Away FT24.8%19.4%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away44.8%