Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.9232.4%
X3.1330.3%
22.5437.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Birmingham
WDDLWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Luton
WLWLLWWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.20goals per matchLuton conceded1.10Matchup
Luton attack
1.20goals per matchBirmingham conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
21.40
Match total
24.60
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.00
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches357
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%31.7%-0.8 pp
Draw30.3%33.1%+2.8 pp
Away37.3%35.3%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.08–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
0-112.6%
0-012.3%
2-110.4%
1-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–4.68
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=357.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%18.0%–32.7% CI
Draw FT51.5%43.0%–60.0% CI
Away FT23.8%17.3%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.6%
Away47.7%