Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.9232.4%
X3.1330.3%
22.5437.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
WDDLWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Luton
WLWLLWWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.40
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.20goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
21.40
Match total
24.60

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.00
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches357
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%31.7%-0.8 pp
Draw30.3%33.1%+2.8 pp
Away37.3%35.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.081.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-112.6%
0-012.3%
2-110.4%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.824.68
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=357.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.6%18.0%–32.7% CI
Draw FT51.5%43.0%–60.0% CI
Away FT23.8%17.3%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away47.7%