Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-21 · 19:45
12.2542.1%
X3.2629.1%
23.2928.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WWWWDLWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Stoke
DWLWLWDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.70
Against
5.10
8.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

2.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Swansea conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.10
8.20
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.20
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.40
On target
4.20
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%41.0%-1.1 pp
Draw29.1%29.9%+0.8 pp
Away28.8%29.1%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.321.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-011.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.1%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.46
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=865.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches278
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.2%28.8%–39.9% CI
Draw FT39.9%34.3%–45.8% CI
Away FT25.9%21.1%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away42.8%