Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-21 · 19:45
13.2429.3%
X3.1130.5%
22.3640.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWWWDDDWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Burnley
DWDWLWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
0.60
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.70goals per match
Burnley conceded1.00
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.90goals per match
Millwall conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.20
Match total
22.60

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.10
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%26.0%-3.3 pp
Draw30.5%31.4%+0.9 pp
Away40.2%42.6%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.011.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-111.7%
0-09.9%
1-09.9%
0-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.04
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.531.8%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%15.5%–34.4% CI
Draw FT43.4%32.9%–54.6% CI
Away FT32.9%23.4%–44.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away50.0%