Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-20 · 20:00
12.6735.4%
X3.2928.7%
22.6435.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LWWLWDLWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
West Brom
LWLWWLWWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.00
Against
6.50
10.50
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.30goals per match
West Brom conceded1.10
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.50
10.50
Match total
12.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.20
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
24.40
Match total
18.70

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches637
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.5%-2.9 pp
Draw28.7%31.6%+2.8 pp
Away35.8%35.9%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.151.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
0-112.6%
2-19.6%
1-09.1%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.90
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=636.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches216
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.9%20.5%–32.2% CI
Draw FT40.7%34.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT33.3%27.4%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away54.2%