Championship · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 15:00
13.3328.4%
X3.2529.1%
22.2342.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WDWDDDWLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Burnley
DDWDWLWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.90
12.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.90
12.70
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.70
Match total
22.40

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%27.2%-1.2 pp
Draw29.1%30.7%+1.6 pp
Away42.4%42.1%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

0.991.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
0-012.3%
0-112.0%
1-011.4%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.06
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%14.6%–29.9% CI
Draw FT51.9%42.5%–61.0% CI
Away FT26.9%19.4%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.8%
Away47.2%