Championship · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 12:30
12.2542.2%
X3.5027.1%
23.1030.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WDWWLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Cardiff
DLWLLWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.60goals per matchCardiff conceded1.50Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.10goals per matchDerby conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.00
Match total
20.10
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches355
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%44.2%+2.0 pp
Draw27.1%28.7%+1.6 pp
Away30.6%27.0%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.54–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%
2-09.3%
0-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.59
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=354.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.1%–50.5% CI
Draw FT37.2%28.1%–47.3% CI
Away FT22.3%15.1%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals17.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.8%
Away46.8%