Championship · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 12:30
12.2542.2%
X3.5027.1%
23.1030.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WDWWLWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Cardiff
DLWLLWWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.00
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.50
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.00
Match total
20.10

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches355
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%44.2%+2.0 pp
Draw27.1%28.7%+1.6 pp
Away30.6%27.0%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.541.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%
2-09.3%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.59
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=354.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%31.1%–50.5% CI
Draw FT37.2%28.1%–47.3% CI
Away FT22.3%15.1%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.8%
Away46.8%