Championship · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 12:30
11.9449.1%
X3.7225.6%
23.7625.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LWWDWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Millwall
LLLWWDLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.40goals per match
Millwall conceded1.50
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.10
Match total
21.70

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%46.5%-2.6 pp
Draw25.6%27.0%+1.4 pp
Away25.3%26.6%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.711.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-19.5%
0-17.5%
2-27.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.24
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT28.6%18.4%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals26.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away50.0%