Championship · 2021/22
2022-05-07 · 12:30
11.9449.1%
X3.7225.6%
23.7625.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
LWWDWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Millwall
LLLWWDLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.40goals per matchMillwall conceded1.50Matchup
Millwall attack
1.00goals per matchBournemouth conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.10
Match total
21.70
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%46.5%-2.6 pp
Draw25.6%27.0%+1.4 pp
Away25.3%26.6%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS58.9%
Historical average
1.71–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-19.5%
0-17.5%
2-27.1%
2-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–4.24
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT28.6%18.4%–41.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals26.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away50.0%