Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 15:00
11.8252.3%
X3.6725.9%
24.3621.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
WWWWWWLLLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Stoke
LDDLDDLLWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
4.50
11.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.50goals per matchStoke conceded1.40Matchup
Stoke attack
1.30goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.50
11.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
25.00
Match total
22.10
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%53.7%+1.5 pp
Draw25.9%30.6%+4.7 pp
Away21.8%15.6%-6.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.67–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
1-012.2%
2-010.9%
2-110.2%
0-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.29–4.10
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.523.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%26.4%–53.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%36.1%–63.9% CI
Away FT10.9%4.7%–23.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.2%
Away34.8%