Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
12.0945.5%
X3.4727.4%
23.5227.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWDWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bristol City
LLDLLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
7.20
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Bristol City conceded2.30
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.20
10.10
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%44.3%-1.2 pp
Draw27.4%28.3%+0.8 pp
Away27.0%27.4%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.521.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
1-111.4%
2-110.1%
0-19.3%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.79
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%24.5%–44.4% CI
Draw FT37.3%27.7%–48.1% CI
Away FT28.9%20.3%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away49.4%