Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
12.0945.5%
X3.4727.4%
23.5227.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WWDWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bristol City
LLDLLLWLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
7.20
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.60goals per matchBristol City conceded2.30Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.10goals per matchDerby conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.20
10.10
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.00
Match total
19.90
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%44.3%-1.2 pp
Draw27.4%28.3%+0.8 pp
Away27.0%27.4%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS54.0%
Historical average
1.52–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.8%
1-111.4%
2-110.1%
0-19.3%
0-08.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.11–4.79
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%24.5%–44.4% CI
Draw FT37.3%27.7%–48.1% CI
Away FT28.9%20.3%–39.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals16.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away49.4%