Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
13.3528.4%
X3.3328.6%
22.2143.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LWDLWLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Millwall
WLLLWWDLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Against
6.70
8.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Millwall conceded1.30
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.70
8.80
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.40
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.50
Match total
20.80

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.50
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches244
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%28.3%-0.1 pp
Draw28.6%30.3%+1.8 pp
Away43.0%41.4%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

0.951.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.3%
1-011.9%
1-111.5%
0-111.5%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.04
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=244.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%15.6%–32.7% CI
Draw FT49.5%39.4%–59.5% CI
Away FT27.5%19.4%–37.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.02

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.3%
Away42.9%