Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 15:00
12.8333.6%
X3.1530.2%
22.6236.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
LWWWDLWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
WLWLWLWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.20goals per matchLuton conceded1.20Matchup
Luton attack
1.10goals per matchCardiff conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.70
Match total
22.40
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches428
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.8%-1.8 pp
Draw30.2%32.7%+2.5 pp
Away36.3%35.5%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.12–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
0-111.4%
0-011.4%
2-19.1%
1-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.80–4.83
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=428.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.0%–36.2% CI
Draw FT47.4%39.7%–55.3% CI
Away FT24.0%18.0%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.1%
Away45.5%