Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 15:00
12.8333.6%
X3.1530.2%
22.6236.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
LWWWDLWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
WLWLWLWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.20goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Matchup

Luton attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
21.70
Match total
22.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches428
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.8%-1.8 pp
Draw30.2%32.7%+2.5 pp
Away36.3%35.5%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.121.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-111.4%
0-011.4%
2-19.1%
1-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.83
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=428.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.0%–36.2% CI
Draw FT47.4%39.7%–55.3% CI
Away FT24.0%18.0%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.1%
Away45.5%