Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 20:00
15.7316.6%
X3.8624.7%
21.6258.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWWDWWLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Fulham
DWWWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.20
0.60
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.20
0.60
Goals conceded
0.60
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Fulham conceded0.60
Matchup

Fulham attack

2.20goals per match
Derby conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
9.80
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.40
Match total
20.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%8.3%-8.3 pp
Draw24.7%16.7%-8.0 pp
Away58.7%75.0%+16.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

0.781.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-225.0%
1-313.9%
0-313.9%
0-111.1%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.506.17
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.538.9%
Over 10.522.2%
Over 11.513.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away68.4%