Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 20:00
15.7316.6%
X3.8624.7%
21.6258.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WWWDWWLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Fulham
DWWWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.20
0.60
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.30
Against
4.20
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.20
0.60
Goals conceded
0.60
2.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.50goals per matchFulham conceded0.60Matchup
Fulham attack
2.20goals per matchDerby conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.20
9.80
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.40
Match total
20.40
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.6%8.3%-8.3 pp
Draw24.7%16.7%-8.0 pp
Away58.7%75.0%+16.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
0.78–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-225.0%
1-313.9%
0-313.9%
0-111.1%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.50–6.17
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.538.9%
Over 10.522.2%
Over 11.513.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away68.4%