Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 15:00
12.4139.5%
X3.0930.8%
23.2129.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
WDDDDLDWWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Millwall
LWLLLWWDLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Against
6.50
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.40goals per match
Millwall conceded1.40
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Preston conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.50
9.90
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
19.10
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.50
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches406
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%42.9%+3.3 pp
Draw30.8%30.3%-0.5 pp
Away29.7%26.8%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.300.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-012.1%
2-110.3%
0-110.1%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.26
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=406.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.0%27.0%–41.8% CI
Draw FT38.6%31.2%–46.5% CI
Away FT27.5%21.0%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away46.4%