Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-15 · 12:30
12.8932.9%
X3.2829.0%
22.4938.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWWDWWWLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DDWLWLWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.70
Against
6.00
10.00
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.80
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.40goals per match
Luton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.00
10.00
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches295
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%30.8%-2.0 pp
Draw29.0%26.8%-2.2 pp
Away38.2%42.4%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.121.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.6%
1-112.9%
2-19.5%
0-08.1%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.94
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=295.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches97
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%19.9%–37.5% CI
Draw FT36.1%27.2%–46.0% CI
Away FT36.1%27.2%–46.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away57.7%