Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
12.1045.2%
X3.3528.4%
23.6026.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DLLWLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
LWDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.50
Against
5.10
8.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.90
Matchup

Derby attack

0.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.10
8.20
Match total
9.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
22.80

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.20
On target
1.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%42.7%-2.6 pp
Draw28.4%27.4%-0.9 pp
Away26.4%29.9%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

1.301.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-112.2%
0-011.0%
0-111.0%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.853.97
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%21.8%–45.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI
Away FT27.3%17.3%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals29.1%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away34.5%