Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
12.3939.9%
X3.2329.5%
23.1130.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
DDLLLLWLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cardiff
WWDLDLWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.40
2.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
2.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.30goals per matchCardiff conceded1.60Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.40goals per matchReading conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.90
Match total
20.20
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches486
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%39.7%-0.2 pp
Draw29.5%33.7%+4.2 pp
Away30.6%26.5%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.18–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-012.6%
1-011.1%
2-19.9%
0-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.44
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=486.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches185
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.1%22.1%–35.0% CI
Draw FT48.6%41.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT23.2%17.7%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.0%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away42.7%