Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-05 · 20:00
12.8133.9%
X3.1430.4%
22.6735.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
LDDLLLLWLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Stoke
LWWLDDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.70
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.10goals per matchStoke conceded1.20Matchup
Stoke attack
1.20goals per matchReading conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.30
Match total
23.10
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches401
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.7%-2.3 pp
Draw30.4%34.4%+4.1 pp
Away35.7%33.9%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.10–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
0-112.0%
0-011.7%
1-010.0%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.84–4.70
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=401.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.4%22.8%–37.1% CI
Draw FT47.1%39.3%–54.9% CI
Away FT23.5%17.5%–30.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.7%
Away45.8%