Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-05 · 20:00
12.8133.9%
X3.1430.4%
22.6735.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LDDLLLLWLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Stoke
LWWLDDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.70
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded1.20
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Reading conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.30
Match total
23.10

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches401
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%31.7%-2.3 pp
Draw30.4%34.4%+4.1 pp
Away35.7%33.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.101.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-112.0%
0-011.7%
1-010.0%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.844.70
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=401.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.4%22.8%–37.1% CI
Draw FT47.1%39.3%–54.9% CI
Away FT23.5%17.5%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.7%
Away45.8%