Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
12.2143.1%
X3.1830.0%
23.5426.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LDWWDWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Millwall
LLWLLLWWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.70
9.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.70goals per match
Millwall conceded1.40
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.80goals per match
Luton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.70
9.80
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.10
Match total
22.20

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.50
On target
2.60
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.1%43.6%+0.5 pp
Draw30.0%33.1%+3.1 pp
Away26.9%23.3%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.300.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-012.5%
0-012.5%
2-011.3%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.26
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%28.1%–42.4% CI
Draw FT45.6%38.2%–53.1% CI
Away FT19.5%14.3%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away39.1%