Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
12.6635.8%
X3.1030.7%
22.8433.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LWWWDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Preston
LWLWDWWDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.40
1.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
3.60
9.60
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Preston conceded0.80
Matchup

Preston attack

0.70goals per match
Derby conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
20%2/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.60
9.60
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.40
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.30
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches346
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%34.1%-1.7 pp
Draw30.7%37.0%+6.3 pp
Away33.5%28.9%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.081.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
0-013.0%
1-013.0%
0-110.1%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.45
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=346.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%22.6%–38.4% CI
Draw FT48.0%39.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT22.0%15.7%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.6%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.6%
Away39.4%