Championship · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
11.4366.4%
X4.6420.5%
27.2613.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
WDLWLWWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bristol City
LDLLDLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
2.40
2.70
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.80goals per matchBristol City conceded2.40Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.00goals per matchBournemouth conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.30
Match total
19.60
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%71.9%+5.5 pp
Draw20.5%19.0%-1.5 pp
Away13.1%9.1%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
2.35–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.9%
2-112.4%
3-110.7%
1-09.1%
2-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.26–3.45
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.5%46.9%–78.9% CI
Draw FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI
Away FT12.9%5.1%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.3%
2+ goals67.7%
3+ goals32.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.6%
Away38.7%