Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 15:00
12.3540.4%
X3.1330.3%
23.2529.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
WLDLLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Millwall
DLLWLLLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.30
Against
7.30
8.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Millwall conceded1.30
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Stoke conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
7.30
8.90
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
19.80
Match total
22.60

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
2.80
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%43.8%+3.4 pp
Draw30.3%29.2%-1.1 pp
Away29.2%27.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

1.270.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-012.8%
0-010.2%
2-010.0%
0-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.874.26
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.6%–41.8% CI
Draw FT39.6%32.6%–47.2% CI
Away FT26.0%20.0%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals33.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away42.6%