Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-19 · 12:30
13.0431.3%
X3.1630.1%
22.4638.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WLWWWDWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Coventry
WDDDWLWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
3.60
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.70goals per matchCoventry conceded1.30Matchup
Coventry attack
1.40goals per matchDerby conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.60
8.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.10
Match total
21.10
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.00
On target
5.40
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%34.3%+3.1 pp
Draw30.1%29.3%-0.8 pp
Away38.6%36.4%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.20–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
0-112.6%
0-09.6%
1-09.1%
2-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.37–4.98
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.521.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%18.0%–39.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%29.9%–53.0% CI
Away FT31.8%21.8%–43.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away48.5%