Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-16 · 19:45
12.2741.8%
X3.1130.5%
23.4427.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LLDWWDWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Preston
WLWLWDWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.20
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
1.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.30goals per match
Preston conceded0.50
Matchup

Preston attack

0.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
20%2/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
10.20
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.20
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches433
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%41.8%-0.0 pp
Draw30.5%32.6%+2.0 pp
Away27.6%25.6%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.240.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-012.2%
1-012.2%
2-010.2%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.25
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=433.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.541.8%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.521.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%23.5%–37.1% CI
Draw FT46.8%39.5%–54.3% CI
Away FT23.4%17.7%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away44.4%