Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-15 · 19:45
11.8352.0%
X3.2529.3%
25.0718.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Blackburn
WWWWDWLWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Derby
DLWDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
0.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.90
Against
4.90
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Blackburn attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.60
Matchup

Derby attack

0.60goals per match
Blackburn conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.90
9.50
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.00
On target
1.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%43.2%-8.7 pp
Draw29.3%29.7%+0.5 pp
Away18.8%27.0%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS37.8%

Historical average

1.240.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-018.9%
2-013.5%
1-110.8%
1-08.1%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.893.22
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.521.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals14.3%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.4%
Away28.6%