Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:00
12.9532.2%
X3.0930.7%
22.5637.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
WDDWLWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Middlesbrough
LDWDWLDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
1.30goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.80Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.20goals per matchMillwall conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.60
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.80
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%36.3%+4.1 pp
Draw30.7%27.4%-3.3 pp
Away37.1%36.3%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS37.6%
Historical average
1.03–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.0%
0-112.7%
1-011.5%
2-08.9%
1-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.16–4.27
Average total8.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.543.3%
Over 9.533.1%
Over 10.522.3%
Over 11.517.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.5%–46.0% CI
Draw FT41.5%30.4%–53.7% CI
Away FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals27.7%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away36.9%