Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-12 · 15:00
11.5860.1%
X3.8424.7%
26.2415.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WLWDLWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Derby
DDLWDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.30
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.90goals per match
Derby conceded1.50
Matchup

Derby attack

0.70goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.20
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.1%69.5%+9.4 pp
Draw24.7%22.1%-2.6 pp
Away15.2%8.4%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.529.5%
BTTS42.1%

Historical average

1.970.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.9%
3-013.7%
2-011.6%
2-28.4%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.623.32
Average total8.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.529.5%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%51.4%–82.0% CI
Draw FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI
Away FT3.1%0.6%–15.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away21.9%