Championship · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 12:30
12.2043.2%
X3.5626.7%
23.1530.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
WWWLWLWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Luton
LLWLWLWLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
1.80goals per matchLuton conceded1.30Matchup
Luton attack
0.90goals per matchQPR conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.30
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.10
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%43.6%+0.4 pp
Draw26.7%33.1%+6.5 pp
Away30.2%23.3%-6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.52–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.3%
2-010.4%
1-09.8%
0-09.8%
2-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–4.74
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Draw FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Away FT21.6%12.5%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals19.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away33.3%