Championship · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.4139.4%
X3.1730.0%
23.1030.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DWWWLWLLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
LWLLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.90
Against
3.50
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.00
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded2.00
Matchup

Derby attack

0.50goals per match
Swansea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.50
9.20
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.60
Match total
23.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.30
On target
2.20
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%39.1%-0.3 pp
Draw30.0%32.8%+2.8 pp
Away30.6%28.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.211.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.9%
0-011.6%
0-110.3%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.54
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches120
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%21.8%–37.8% CI
Draw FT42.5%34.0%–51.4% CI
Away FT28.3%21.0%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away46.7%