Championship · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.6935.3%
X3.2229.5%
22.7035.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LDLDWLWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Middlesbrough
WDLWWLLLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.10
Against
4.00
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.90goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.30
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.10goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.00
10.50
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.00
Match total
26.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%28.5%-6.8 pp
Draw29.5%34.2%+4.7 pp
Away35.2%37.4%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.091.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-111.7%
0-011.4%
1-29.3%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.72
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.9%13.8%–30.3% CI
Draw FT50.5%40.5%–60.6% CI
Away FT28.6%20.3%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.6%
Away48.4%