Championship · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.4339.1%
X3.2629.1%
22.9931.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWLWWDDDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Watford
DDWWLWWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.10
Against
4.60
8.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.80goals per match
Watford conceded0.70
Matchup

Watford attack

1.20goals per match
Brentford conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.60
8.40
Match total
10.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.30
Match total
26.50

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches268
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%36.9%-2.2 pp
Draw29.1%35.4%+6.3 pp
Away31.8%27.6%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.211.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-011.6%
2-111.6%
0-110.4%
1-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.71
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=268.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%13.9%–29.4% CI
Draw FT49.0%39.5%–58.6% CI
Away FT30.4%22.3%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away54.9%