Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 13:00
13.0331.3%
X3.2129.5%
22.4239.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
WWLLLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Luton
WLLWLWLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
0.60
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.20
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.50goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.70goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.30
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

7.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
1.70
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%33.8%+2.5 pp
Draw29.5%28.6%-1.0 pp
Away39.2%37.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.161.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.5%
1-112.0%
1-09.8%
0-09.0%
0-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.26
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.3%17.3%–42.5% CI
Draw FT37.0%24.5%–51.4% CI
Away FT34.8%22.7%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away50.0%