Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
11.5660.9%
X3.8924.4%
26.4614.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WWLWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Millwall
LWDWDLWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
0.30
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Watford attack

2.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.40
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.90
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
2.60
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%68.4%+7.5 pp
Draw24.4%25.0%+0.6 pp
Away14.7%6.6%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.920.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.7%
2-111.8%
3-19.2%
2-29.2%
1-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.703.34
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%44.9%–81.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.3%
Away21.7%