Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
12.3939.7%
X3.1130.5%
23.1929.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
LWWWWDLDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Birmingham
WDLLWDLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.50
0.60
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
4.90
7.50
Total
9.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.10goals per matchBirmingham conceded1.00Matchup
Birmingham attack
0.60goals per matchDerby conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.90
7.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.40
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.90
Match total
24.00
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%43.7%+4.0 pp
Draw30.5%27.6%-2.9 pp
Away29.8%28.6%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.512.1%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.19–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
1-112.1%
2-112.1%
1-211.1%
2-011.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.73–3.90
Average total8.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.2%
Over 9.530.2%
Over 10.525.1%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT36.7%26.9%–47.7% CI
Away FT24.1%16.0%–34.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals21.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.0%
Away43.0%