Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
13.0930.7%
X3.2629.1%
22.3640.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLDLDWLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Reading
WDDWLWDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.10goals per match
Reading conceded0.80
Matchup

Reading attack

0.80goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.30
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%30.2%-0.6 pp
Draw29.1%25.6%-3.5 pp
Away40.2%44.2%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS43.2%

Historical average

1.021.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.1%
1-111.6%
1-010.1%
0-28.0%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.755.04
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT35.6%24.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT37.3%26.1%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away52.5%