Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:45
13.0930.7%
X3.2629.1%
22.3640.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
WLDLDWLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Reading
WDDWLWDLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.10goals per matchReading conceded0.80Matchup
Reading attack
0.80goals per matchLuton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.30
Match total
27.30
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%30.2%-0.6 pp
Draw29.1%25.6%-3.5 pp
Away40.2%44.2%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS43.2%
Historical average
1.02–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-117.1%
1-111.6%
1-010.1%
0-28.0%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.75–5.04
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT35.6%24.6%–48.3% CI
Away FT37.3%26.1%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away52.5%