Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 19:00
12.9132.7%
X3.1230.5%
22.5836.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
LDLLDWDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Derby
WLWLLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.90
Against
4.20
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Preston attack

0.60goals per match
Derby conceded1.70
Matchup

Derby attack

0.60goals per match
Preston conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.20
9.70
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.10
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
5%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%33.7%+1.0 pp
Draw30.5%34.3%+3.8 pp
Away36.9%32.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.101.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-012.7%
0-112.2%
2-19.9%
1-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.61
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%18.6%–38.1% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT23.4%15.3%–34.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away50.6%