Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 19:00
12.9132.7%
X3.1230.5%
22.5836.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Preston
LDLLDWDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Derby
WLWLLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.90
Against
4.20
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Preston attack
0.60goals per matchDerby conceded1.70Matchup
Derby attack
0.60goals per matchPreston conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.20
9.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.10
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
5%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%33.7%+1.0 pp
Draw30.5%34.3%+3.8 pp
Away36.9%32.0%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.10–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.1%
0-012.7%
0-112.2%
2-19.9%
1-09.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.66–4.61
Average total9.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.524.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%18.6%–38.1% CI
Draw FT49.4%38.5%–60.3% CI
Away FT23.4%15.3%–34.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away50.6%