Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 18:00
12.3740.1%
X3.3828.1%
23.0031.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Norwich
WWDWWWWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Watford
WDDWWLWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
8.30
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Norwich attack
2.10goals per matchWatford conceded0.80Matchup
Watford attack
1.30goals per matchNorwich conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
8.30
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
1.80
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
21.20
Match total
26.60
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%43.7%+3.6 pp
Draw28.1%28.8%+0.7 pp
Away31.7%27.5%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.47–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
2-19.5%
2-09.5%
0-09.0%
1-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.61
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.8%19.3%–40.6% CI
Draw FT43.9%32.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT27.3%18.0%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away45.5%