Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
14.7120.1%
X3.5526.7%
21.7853.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWLDLDWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Watford
LWDDWWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
10.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.00goals per match
Watford conceded0.90
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
10.30
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.30
Match total
26.30

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%23.3%+3.2 pp
Draw26.7%33.3%+6.7 pp
Away53.2%43.3%-9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS43.3%

Historical average

0.801.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.3%
0-216.7%
0-113.3%
1-010.0%
0-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.93
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away40.0%