Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
11.5959.6%
X3.8025.0%
26.1615.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWWWWLWWDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Millwall
DLWDWDLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
4.70
9.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

2.20goals per match
Millwall conceded1.30
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.30goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.70
9.00
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.70
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.80
Match total
24.40

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.6%56.6%-3.0 pp
Draw25.0%30.2%+5.2 pp
Away15.4%13.2%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.660.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.9%
1-111.3%
2-211.3%
2-09.4%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.723.28
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away22.2%