Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 18:00
12.1444.4%
X3.2928.9%
23.5626.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WWWLLLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Cardiff
LDWWWWDDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.20
Against
6.40
9.20
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.80goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.30goals per match
Reading conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.40
9.20
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
2.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches260
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.4%43.5%-1.0 pp
Draw28.9%31.2%+2.3 pp
Away26.7%25.4%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.330.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-011.9%
0-011.5%
2-010.4%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.40
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=260.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%24.9%–42.9% CI
Draw FT46.1%36.7%–55.7% CI
Away FT20.6%13.9%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals7.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away41.2%