Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:00
14.7320.1%
X3.7325.4%
21.7454.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LLWWWWDLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Norwich
LWDLWWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
7.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
1.80
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.10goals per match
Norwich conceded0.70
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.40goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
7.40
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.10
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
24.70
Match total
26.50

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%16.9%-3.1 pp
Draw25.4%30.5%+5.1 pp
Away54.5%52.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.511.9%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

0.731.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.3%
0-115.3%
0-213.6%
1-28.5%
0-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.715.92
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away55.6%